Worst Cities for Allergies (Seasonal Pollen-Load Ranking)

A transparent, always-current ranking of the 100 largest U.S. cities by modeled tree, grass, and ragweed intensity and season length — showing the 50 with the heaviest annual pollen load, led by Miami, FL.

This is the always-current view of the ranking. For the named, dated edition — with the top-20 list, a season-onset map, a ZIP lookup, and per-metro quotable lines — see the WeatherStory Allergy Index 2026.

Which U.S. cities carry the heaviest pollen load across a full year? This ranking answers that with a single deterministic model: for each of the 100 largest U.S. cities by population, it scores modeled tree, grass, and ragweed intensity against how long each season lasts, then adds the three together into one pollen-load index. The 50 cities with the highest index are listed below, worst first.

The idea is not new. The Asthma and Allergy Foundation of America (AAFA) has published its annual Allergy Capitals report — a ranking of the 100 most-populous U.S. metro areas — for years, and the press cites it every spring. This page is modeled after that concept but built from a transparent, always-current seasonal model rather than a proprietary yearly score.

The 50 highest pollen-load U.S. cities

The 15 heaviest metros by modeled load index — the same figure charted in the "Load index" column below, worst first.

Miami, FL54

Highest modeled load: High tree, High grass, Moderate ragweed across 12 active months

San Juan, PR54
Cape Coral, FL54
Bonita Springs, FL54
Austin, TX50
San Antonio, TX46
Dallas, TX42
Atlanta, GA42
Tampa, FL42
Indianapolis, IN42
Cincinnati, OH42
Kansas City, MO42
Columbus, OH42
Charlotte, NC42
Raleigh, NC42
Load index = peak intensity × season length, summed across tree, grass, and ragweed. A modeled seasonal estimate, not measured counts — see methodology.
#CityTreeGrassRagweedSeasonLoad index
1Miami, FLHighHighModerate12 mo54
2San Juan, PRHighHighModerate12 mo54
3Cape Coral, FLHighHighModerate12 mo54
4Bonita Springs, FLHighHighModerate12 mo54
5Austin, TXVery HighHighHigh12 mo50
6San Antonio, TXVery HighHighHigh12 mo46
7Dallas, TXVery HighHighHigh10 mo42
8Atlanta, GAVery HighHighHigh10 mo42
9Tampa, FLVery HighHighHigh11 mo42
10Indianapolis, INVery HighHighHigh9 mo42
11Cincinnati, OHVery HighHighHigh9 mo42
12Kansas City, MOVery HighHighHigh9 mo42
13Columbus, OHVery HighHighHigh9 mo42
14Charlotte, NCVery HighHighHigh10 mo42
15Raleigh, NCVery HighHighHigh10 mo42
16Memphis, TNVery HighHighHigh10 mo42
17Oklahoma City, OKVery HighHighHigh10 mo42
18Fort Worth, TXVery HighHighHigh10 mo42
19McAllen, TXVery HighHighHigh11 mo42
20Charleston, SCVery HighHighHigh10 mo42
21Dayton, OHVery HighHighHigh9 mo42
22Knoxville, TNVery HighHighHigh10 mo42
23Palm Bay, FLVery HighHighHigh11 mo42
24Port St. Lucie, FLVery HighHighHigh11 mo42
25Kissimmee, FLVery HighHighHigh11 mo42
26Little Rock, ARVery HighHighHigh10 mo42
27Orlando, FLVery HighHighHigh11 mo42
28Nashville, TNVery HighHighHigh10 mo42
29Birmingham, ALVery HighHighHigh10 mo42
30Tulsa, OKVery HighHighHigh10 mo42
31Columbia, SCVery HighHighHigh10 mo42
32Denton, TXVery HighHighHigh10 mo42
33Houston, TXHighHighHigh11 mo39
34St. Louis, MOHighHighHigh9 mo39
35Virginia Beach, VAHighHighHigh10 mo39
36Jacksonville, FLHighHighHigh10 mo39
37Richmond, VAHighHighHigh9 mo39
38Louisville, KYHighHighHigh9 mo39
39New Orleans, LAHighHighHigh10 mo39
40Baton Rouge, LAHighHighHigh10 mo39
41Wichita, KSHighHighHigh9 mo39
42San Francisco, CAVery HighHighModerate9 mo34
43San Diego, CAVery HighHighModerate9 mo34
44Portland, ORHighVery HighModerate9 mo34
45Sacramento, CAVery HighHighModerate9 mo34
46San Jose, CAVery HighHighModerate9 mo34
47Fresno, CAVery HighHighModerate9 mo34
48Bakersfield, CAVery HighHighModerate9 mo34
49Concord, CAVery HighHighModerate9 mo34
50Reno, NVVery HighHighModerate9 mo34

Peak columns show each allergen’s worst-month intensity on the None–Very High (0–4) seasonal scale. Season is the number of months with any active pollen. Load index = the sum of (peak × season length) for tree, grass, and ragweed — higher means a heavier, longer combined season.

How the pollen-load index is built

Every city is assigned a climate region from one of 9 zones, and its tree and grass seasons are shifted by latitude — Hopkins' bioclimatic law puts phenological events about 4 days later per degree north, so a northern city and a southern one in the same region do not score identically. That produces a 12-month intensity curve for each pollen type on a 0 to 4 scale, from None to Very High.

For each type we take the peak month's intensity and multiply it by the number of months that type stays in season. Tree, grass, and ragweed are summed into the composite index: a city scores high when it runs strong peaks across all three allergens and holds them for many months. In this run, Miami, FL tops the list at a load index of 54, with roughly 12 months of the year carrying active pollen. The 50th-ranked city, Reno, NV, scores 34.

Why this is not the AAFA Allergy Capitals score

AAFA's ranking weights three things: pollen scores, over-the-counter allergy-medicine use, and the availability of board-certified allergists in each metro. This page computes only the first of those, and it does so from a seasonal phenology model rather than measured daily counts. It cannot see how many people buy antihistamines or how hard it is to book an allergist, and it does not try to. Read it as a seasonal pollen-load ranking, not as a copy of AAFA's number.

That narrower scope is also its strength: because the index is a published formula built from regional season windows, anyone can trace why a city lands where it does. It is a model, not a measurement — the intensity values are drawn from AAFA and ACAAI regional season guidance, not from a pollen-counting station in each city.

What the ranking does and doesn't tell you

The heaviest loads cluster where warm, long growing seasons stack tree, grass, and ragweed on top of one another — the humid Southeast and the ragweed-heavy Plains run longer, more overlapping seasons than the mild West Coast or the short Alaskan calendar. Because the model has 9 regions plus a latitude shift, cities in the same region and near the same latitude can tie; the table breaks those ties by season area and population so the order stays stable, but small rank gaps between neighbors are not meaningful precision.

Use it as a starting point, not a diagnosis. Local tree cover, your specific sensitivities, and a given year's weather all matter, and no citywide number predicts how you personally will feel on a given morning. If seasonal symptoms disrupt your sleep or daily life, an allergist can test for your specific triggers. For the day-to-day picture, open your city's page below — each links to its tree, grass, and ragweed season calendar.

Frequently asked

What makes a city bad for allergies?
A long season and high peaks across more than one pollen type. Cities that run strong tree, grass, and ragweed seasons back to back — common in the humid Southeast and the ragweed-heavy Plains — carry a heavier annual load than places with one short peak. This ranking captures that as peak intensity multiplied by season length, summed across all three allergens.
How is the pollen-load index calculated?
For each of the 100 largest U.S. cities, a seasonal model produces a 12-month intensity curve (0 to 4) for tree, grass, and ragweed pollen. Each type's peak intensity is multiplied by how many months it stays in season, and the three products are added into one index. Higher means a heavier, longer combined pollen season.
Is this the same as AAFA's Allergy Capitals?
No. AAFA's Allergy Capitals report also weights over-the-counter allergy-medicine use and the number of board-certified allergists in each metro. This page computes only modeled seasonal pollen load, from regional season windows rather than measured counts, so it is a related but different ranking — a seasonal pollen-load index, not a copy of AAFA's score.
Does a high rank mean pollen is bad there right now?
Not necessarily. The index measures the whole year's load, not today. A city can top the annual ranking yet sit in a quiet lull between its tree and ragweed peaks. For what is actually in season now, open that city's pollen page, which shows the current month against its tree, grass, and ragweed calendar.
Why do some big cities rank low?
Mild, dry, or short-season climates score lower even when they are large. West Coast metros generally see lighter ragweed, and far-northern cities have compressed seasons, so a populous city there can carry a smaller annual pollen load than a mid-size city in the Southeast or Plains.
How often does the ranking change?
The model is seasonal and evergreen: it is built from regional season windows and each city's latitude, not from live daily counts, so the order is stable year-round. It only shifts if the underlying season windows or the list of largest cities are updated — not day to day.
What can I do if I live in a high-pollen city?
Track your local count and time outdoor activity to the lows, keep windows shut and run air conditioning on recirculate during peak weeks, and shower and change clothes after being outside. If avoidance and over-the-counter options are not enough, an allergist can identify your specific triggers and discuss longer-term treatment.

Pollen & allergy guides

Evergreen guides to what drives these seasons and how to manage them:

More pollen data

Browse pollen counts by city for the full per-city tree, grass, and ragweed calendars, or see the national weather & climate rankings.