Worst Cities for Allergies (Seasonal Pollen-Load Ranking)

A transparent, always-current ranking of the 100 largest U.S. cities by modeled tree, grass, and ragweed intensity and season length — showing the 50 with the heaviest annual pollen load, led by Cape Coral, FL.

This is the always-current view of the ranking. For the named, dated edition — with the top-20 list, a season-onset map, a ZIP lookup, and per-metro quotable lines — see the WeatherStory Allergy Index 2026.

Which U.S. cities carry the heaviest pollen load across a full year? This ranking answers that with a single deterministic model: for each of the 100 largest U.S. cities by population, it scores modeled tree, grass, and ragweed intensity against how long each season lasts, then adds the three together into one pollen-load index. The 50 cities with the highest index are listed below, worst first.

The idea is not new. The Asthma and Allergy Foundation of America (AAFA) has published its annual Allergy Capitals report — a ranking of the 100 most-populous U.S. metro areas — for years, and the press cites it every spring. This page is modeled after that concept but built from a transparent, always-current seasonal model rather than a proprietary yearly score.

The 50 highest pollen-load U.S. cities

The 15 heaviest metros by modeled load index — the same figure charted in the "Load index" column below, worst first.

Cape Coral, FL57

Highest modeled load: High tree, High grass, Moderate ragweed across 12 active months

Miami, FL54
San Juan, PR54
Bonita Springs, FL54
Orlando, FL49
Dallas, TX49
Tampa, FL49
Indianapolis, IN49
Cincinnati, OH49
Kansas City, MO49
Columbus, OH49
Charlotte, NC49
Nashville, TN49
Raleigh, NC49
Memphis, TN49
Load index = peak intensity × season length, summed across tree, grass, and ragweed. A modeled seasonal estimate, not measured counts — see methodology.
#CityTreeGrassRagweedSeasonLoad index
1Cape Coral, FLHighHighModerate12 mo57
2Miami, FLHighHighModerate12 mo54
3San Juan, PRHighHighModerate12 mo54
4Bonita Springs, FLHighHighModerate12 mo54
5Orlando, FLVery HighHighHigh11 mo49
6Dallas, TXVery HighHighHigh11 mo49
7Tampa, FLVery HighHighHigh11 mo49
8Indianapolis, INVery HighHighHigh10 mo49
9Cincinnati, OHVery HighHighHigh10 mo49
10Kansas City, MOVery HighHighHigh10 mo49
11Columbus, OHVery HighHighHigh10 mo49
12Charlotte, NCVery HighHighHigh10 mo49
13Nashville, TNVery HighHighHigh10 mo49
14Raleigh, NCVery HighHighHigh10 mo49
15Memphis, TNVery HighHighHigh10 mo49
16Oklahoma City, OKVery HighHighHigh10 mo49
17Fort Worth, TXVery HighHighHigh11 mo49
18Tulsa, OKVery HighHighHigh10 mo49
19Charleston, SCVery HighHighHigh11 mo49
20Dayton, OHVery HighHighHigh10 mo49
21Knoxville, TNVery HighHighHigh10 mo49
22Palm Bay, FLVery HighHighHigh11 mo49
23Port St. Lucie, FLVery HighHighHigh11 mo49
24Kissimmee, FLVery HighHighHigh11 mo49
25Little Rock, ARVery HighHighHigh10 mo49
26Houston, TXHighHighHigh11 mo45
27St. Louis, MOHighHighHigh10 mo45
28San Antonio, TXHighHighHigh11 mo45
29Austin, TXHighHighHigh11 mo45
30Virginia Beach, VAHighHighHigh10 mo45
31Jacksonville, FLHighHighHigh11 mo45
32Richmond, VAHighHighHigh10 mo45
33Louisville, KYHighHighHigh10 mo45
34New Orleans, LAHighHighHigh11 mo45
35Baton Rouge, LAHighHighHigh11 mo45
36Wichita, KSHighHighHigh10 mo45
37Atlanta, GAVery HighHighHigh10 mo42
38McAllen, TXVery HighHighHigh11 mo42
39Birmingham, ALVery HighHighHigh10 mo42
40Columbia, SCVery HighHighHigh10 mo42
41Denton, TXVery HighHighHigh10 mo42
42San Francisco, CAVery HighHighModerate10 mo41
43Sacramento, CAVery HighHighModerate10 mo41
44San Jose, CAVery HighHighModerate10 mo41
45Fresno, CAVery HighHighModerate10 mo41
46Concord, CAVery HighHighModerate10 mo41
47San Diego, CAVery HighHighModerate10 mo41
48Portland, ORHighVery HighModerate10 mo41
49Bakersfield, CAVery HighHighModerate10 mo41
50Reno, NVVery HighHighModerate10 mo41

Peak columns show each allergen’s worst-month intensity on the None–Very High (0–4) seasonal scale. Season is the number of months with any active pollen. Load index = the sum of (peak × season length) for tree, grass, and ragweed — higher means a heavier, longer combined season.

How the pollen-load index is built

Every city is assigned a climate region from one of 9 zones, and its tree and grass seasons are shifted by latitude — Hopkins' bioclimatic law puts phenological events about 4 days later per degree north, so a northern city and a southern one in the same region do not score identically. That produces a 12-month intensity curve for each pollen type on a 0 to 4 scale, from None to Very High.

For each type we take the peak month's intensity and multiply it by the number of months that type stays in season. Tree, grass, and ragweed are summed into the composite index: a city scores high when it runs strong peaks across all three allergens and holds them for many months. In this run, Cape Coral, FL tops the list at a load index of 57, with roughly 12 months of the year carrying active pollen. The 50th-ranked city, Reno, NV, scores 41.

Why this is not the AAFA Allergy Capitals score

AAFA's ranking weights three things: pollen scores, over-the-counter allergy-medicine use, and the availability of board-certified allergists in each metro. This page computes only the first of those, and it does so from a seasonal phenology model rather than measured daily counts. It cannot see how many people buy antihistamines or how hard it is to book an allergist, and it does not try to. Read it as a seasonal pollen-load ranking, not as a copy of AAFA's number.

That narrower scope is also its strength: because the index is a published formula built from regional season windows, anyone can trace why a city lands where it does. It is a model, not a measurement — the intensity values are drawn from AAFA and ACAAI regional season guidance, not from a pollen-counting station in each city.

What the ranking does and doesn't tell you

The heaviest loads cluster where warm, long growing seasons stack tree, grass, and ragweed on top of one another — the humid Southeast and the ragweed-heavy Plains run longer, more overlapping seasons than the mild West Coast or the short Alaskan calendar. Because the model has 9 regions plus a latitude shift, cities in the same region and near the same latitude can tie; the table breaks those ties by season area and population so the order stays stable, but small rank gaps between neighbors are not meaningful precision.

Use it as a starting point, not a diagnosis. Local tree cover, your specific sensitivities, and a given year's weather all matter, and no citywide number predicts how you personally will feel on a given morning. If seasonal symptoms disrupt your sleep or daily life, an allergist can test for your specific triggers. For the day-to-day picture, open your city's page below — each links to its tree, grass, and ragweed season calendar.

Frequently asked

What makes a city bad for allergies?
A long season and high peaks across more than one pollen type. Cities that run strong tree, grass, and ragweed seasons back to back — common in the humid Southeast and the ragweed-heavy Plains — carry a heavier annual load than places with one short peak. This ranking captures that as peak intensity multiplied by season length, summed across all three allergens.
How is the pollen-load index calculated?
For each of the 100 largest U.S. cities, a seasonal model produces a 12-month intensity curve (0 to 4) for tree, grass, and ragweed pollen. Each type's peak intensity is multiplied by how many months it stays in season, and the three products are added into one index. Higher means a heavier, longer combined pollen season.
Is this the same as AAFA's Allergy Capitals?
No. AAFA's Allergy Capitals report also weights over-the-counter allergy-medicine use and the number of board-certified allergists in each metro. This page computes only modeled seasonal pollen load, from regional season windows rather than measured counts, so it is a related but different ranking — a seasonal pollen-load index, not a copy of AAFA's score.
Does a high rank mean pollen is bad there right now?
Not necessarily. The index measures the whole year's load, not today. A city can top the annual ranking yet sit in a quiet lull between its tree and ragweed peaks. For what is actually in season now, open that city's pollen page, which shows the current month against its tree, grass, and ragweed calendar.
Why do some big cities rank low?
Mild, dry, or short-season climates score lower even when they are large. West Coast metros generally see lighter ragweed, and far-northern cities have compressed seasons, so a populous city there can carry a smaller annual pollen load than a mid-size city in the Southeast or Plains.
How often does the ranking change?
The model is seasonal and evergreen: it is built from regional season windows and each city's latitude, not from live daily counts, so the order is stable year-round. It only shifts if the underlying season windows or the list of largest cities are updated — not day to day.
What can I do if I live in a high-pollen city?
Track your local count and time outdoor activity to the lows, keep windows shut and run air conditioning on recirculate during peak weeks, and shower and change clothes after being outside. If avoidance and over-the-counter options are not enough, an allergist can identify your specific triggers and discuss longer-term treatment.

Pollen & allergy guides

Evergreen guides to what drives these seasons and how to manage them:

More pollen data

Browse pollen counts by city for the full per-city tree, grass, and ragweed calendars, or see the national weather & climate rankings.