Manasota Key, Florida Weather
Midyear heat — the wet season grip. Day 15 of summer. Read this microseason across nine climate regions →
Manasota Key weather forecast — hour by hour, 7-day outlook, NOAA radar
- TodayJul 5Light Drizzle30%0.01″87°80°—
- MondayJul 6Light Rain42%0.07″89°75°+2°
- TuesdayJul 7Thunderstorm14%—92°81°+3°
- WednesdayJul 8Light Showers10%—92°77°0°
- ThursdayJul 9Thunderstorm10%—93°77°+1°
- FridayJul 10Light Drizzle29%—94°76°+1°
- SaturdayJul 11Light Drizzle29%—91°76°-3°
AQI 27 (Good), driven by PM2.5. AQI flat over the last 6 hours (within ±3 points). PM2.5 at 6.8 µg/m³ (AQI 38), ratio 0.58 with 5 mph wind — characteristic of long-range haze transport rather than a local source.
OK No precautions needed for the general population; unusually sensitive individuals may consider limiting prolonged outdoor exertion.
What's driving it
Ozone × UV × Sky
Ozone at AQI 30. Overcast through the UV peak window (cloud cover ~100%) — afternoon ozone should stay flat.
- Present
- AQI 30
- UV peak
- 0.3 at 1 PM
- Sky at peak
- overcast
- Projected peak
- AQI 4
PM × Wind × Precip
PM2.5 at 6.8 µg/m³ (AQI 38), ratio 0.58 with 5 mph wind — characteristic of long-range haze transport rather than a local source.
- PM2.5/PM10
- 0.58
- Wind
- light
- Recent rain
- 0h in last 6h
- Pattern
- transport
Trends
Seven days of AQI and PM2.5.
Hourly air-quality data from the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service, charted across the past and next several days. Dashed lines mark the AQI breakpoints at 50 (Good → Moderate) and 100 (Moderate → Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups).








































If the first of July be rainy weather, 'twill rain more or less for four weeks together.
- Moonrise
- 11:39 PM
- Moonset
- 11:44 AM
- In sign
- ♓︎ Pisces
Midyear heat — the wet season grip
Manasota Key at a glance
- Today vs. normal: 4°F below the seasonal normal for this latitude
- Last frost: January 28 (climatological average for this latitude)
- Microseason: Jul 1–5
- Planting window: Harvest early potatoes. Begin drying onions on the surface.
15-Day Forecast — Manasota Key
- Sun87°80°30%
- Mon89°75°42%
- Tue92°81°14%
- Wed92°77°10%
- Thu93°77°10%
- Fri94°76°29%
- Sat91°76°29%
- Sun86°75°15%
- Mon94°77°15%
- Tue94°74°24%
- Wed93°76°24%
- Thu97°72°48%
- Fri93°77°52%
- Sat92°77°49%
- Sun95°77°56%
Forecast data from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0).
Right now in the garden
Peak growing season
As of July 5, the growing season is at its peak — frost is months away. Continue succession-planting beans and summer squash. Start fall brassicas (broccoli, cabbage, kale) from seed indoors for transplanting in late summer.
SPC Convective Outlook
Storm Prediction Center — Manasota Key
SPC includes Manasota Key in the general thunderstorm area today — no severe risk, but storms are possible.
- TODAYTSTMGeneral Thunderstorms
- TOMORROWTSTMGeneral Thunderstorms
- DAY 3TSTMGeneral Thunderstorms
Thunderstorms possible. Not severe, but capable of producing lightning and brief heavy rain.
Source: NOAA / NWS Storm Prediction Center categorical convective outlook. Outlooks are re-issued multiple times per day; this page reflects the most recent SPC polygons covering the city’s coordinates.
ZIP codes in Manasota Key
- 34223