Warrenton, Virginia Weather
Cicadas claim the afternoon. Day 15 of summer. Read this microseason across nine climate regions →
Warrenton weather forecast — hour by hour, 7-day outlook, NOAA radar
- TodayJul 5Light Showers49%0.10″93°68°—
- MondayJul 6Thunderstorm83%0.07″91°72°-2°
- TuesdayJul 7Light Showers83%—81°70°-10°
- WednesdayJul 8Light Showers57%0.03″77°68°-4°
- ThursdayJul 9Overcast32%—95°66°+18°
- FridayJul 10Overcast53%—95°70°0°
- SaturdayJul 11Light Drizzle36%—78°68°-17°
AQI 49 (Good), driven by PM2.5. AQI down 30 over the last 6 hours — air quality is improving sharply. PM2.5 at 10.2 µg/m³ (AQI 53) with a 0.97 fine-to-coarse ratio and 3 mph wind — combustion smoke trapped in calm air, not road dust.
OK No precautions needed for the general population; unusually sensitive individuals may consider limiting prolonged outdoor exertion.
What's driving it
PM × Wind × Precip
PM2.5 at 10.2 µg/m³ (AQI 53) with a 0.97 fine-to-coarse ratio and 3 mph wind — combustion smoke trapped in calm air, not road dust.
- PM2.5/PM10
- 0.97
- Wind
- calm
- Recent rain
- 0h in last 6h
- Pattern
- stagnant smoke
Trends
Seven days of AQI and PM2.5.
Hourly air-quality data from the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service, charted across the past and next several days. Dashed lines mark the AQI breakpoints at 50 (Good → Moderate) and 100 (Moderate → Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups).
If the first of July be rainy weather, 'twill rain more or less for four weeks together.
- Moonrise
- 11:27 PM
- Moonset
- 11:21 AM
- In sign
- ♓︎ Pisces
Cicadas claim the afternoon
Warrenton at a glance
- Today vs. normal: 72°F — typical for the season
- Last frost: April 8 (climatological average for this latitude)
- Microseason: Jul 1–5
- Planting window: Harvest early potatoes. Begin drying onions on the surface.
ZIP codes: 20186, 20187
15-Day Forecast — Warrenton
- Sun93°68°49%
- Mon91°72°83%
- Tue81°70°83%
- Wed77°68°57%
- Thu95°66°32%
- Fri95°70°53%
- Sat78°68°36%
- Sun79°64°23%
- Mon83°58°17%
- Tue90°59°10%
- Wed91°64°24%
- Thu86°64°39%
- Fri88°65°29%
- Sat90°68°36%
- Sun85°67°39%
Forecast data from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0).
Right now in the garden
Peak growing season
As of July 5, the growing season is at its peak — frost is months away. Continue succession-planting beans and summer squash. Start fall brassicas (broccoli, cabbage, kale) from seed indoors for transplanting in late summer.
SPC Convective Outlook
Storm Prediction Center — Warrenton
SPC has placed Warrenton in the Slight Risk category for severe thunderstorms tomorrow.
- TODAYMRGLMarginal Risk
- TOMORROWSLGTSlight Risk
- DAY 3TSTMGeneral Thunderstorms
Scattered severe storms possible. A few tornadoes, hail, and damaging wind gusts possible.
Source: NOAA / NWS Storm Prediction Center categorical convective outlook. Outlooks are re-issued multiple times per day; this page reflects the most recent SPC polygons covering the city’s coordinates.
ZIP codes in Warrenton
- 20186