Weather StoryAlmanac, microseasons, and the day's weather story.

Nellysford, Virginia Weather

Cicadas claim the scorching afternoon. Day 15 of summer. Read this microseason across nine climate regions →

Nellysford weather forecast — hour by hour, 7-day outlook, NOAA radar

Nellysford, VA
Sunday, July 5 at 6:16 AM
71
°
Clear
Feels like
71°
Humidity
58%
Wind
4 mph
Sunrise
1:58 AM
Sunset
4:41 PM
Nellysford, VA
Hour by hour · 24h
24-Hour ForecastNellysford, VA: 24-hour forecast. Temperatures range from 71 to 88 degrees Fahrenheit with a 42% chance of precipitation at 3 PM.
L 71°H 88°
Nellysford, VA
7-day forecast
  1. Today
    Jul 5
    Heavy Rain
    42%
    0.46″
    88°70°
  2. Monday
    Jul 6
    Heavy Rain
    90%
    1.7″
    89°71°+1°
  3. Tuesday
    Jul 7
    Thunderstorm
    81%
    0.05″
    85°67°-4°
  4. Wednesday
    Jul 8
    Thunderstorm
    64%
    0.02″
    70°67°-15°
  5. Thursday
    Jul 9
    Light Drizzle
    31%
    91°66°+21°
  6. Friday
    Jul 10
    Light Showers
    36%
    0.28″
    84°65°-7°
  7. Saturday
    Jul 11
    Light Drizzle
    37%
    81°64°-3°
Nellysford, VA
Anemometer · 24h winds · from true
NESW
From · True
WSW
240° · backing 137°
Direction
WSW
240°
Sustained
4
mph
Gust
4
mph
Peak 24h
39
avg 6
Beaufort · 2 · LIGHT BRZ
0
CALM
<1
1
LIGHT AIR
1–3
2
LIGHT BRZ
4–7
3
GENTLE BRZ
8–12
4
MOD BRZ
13–18
5
FRESH BRZ
19–24
6
STRONG BRZ
25–31
7
NEAR GALE
32–38
24h · sust vs gust · mph
avg 6 · pk 39 @ 6:00p
0102030MPHB1B2B3B4B5B6-21h-18h-15h-12h-9h-6h-3h-24hNOWpk 271SUSTGUST
−24h−18h−12h−6hnow
A whisper of wind — leaves barely shift on the trees.
Nellysford, VA
Barometer · 24h pressure · mb
STORMRAINCHANGEFAIRDRY9901000101010201030
Pressure · mb
965.6
-0.5 mb in 3h · steady · 28.51 inHg
Now
965.6
mb
3h
-0.5
mb
12h
-2.4
mb
24h
-3.2
mb
Regime · STORM
STORM
RAIN
CHANGE
FAIR
DRY
24h · Pressure · mb
range 965970
960965970975-21h-18h-15h-12h-9h-6h-3h-24hNOW969.6965.3965.4
−24h−18h−12h−6hnow
Deep low — expect rough seas, strong wind, and persistent rain.
Nellysford, VA
Air quality
48
AQI
Good
-4 in 6h

AQI 48 (Good), driven by PM2.5. AQI flat over the last 6 hours (within ±4 points). PM2.5 at 14.0 µg/m³ (AQI 60) with a 0.96 fine-to-coarse ratio and 4 mph wind — combustion smoke trapped in calm air, not road dust.

OK No precautions needed for the general population; unusually sensitive individuals may consider limiting prolonged outdoor exertion.

PM 2.5DRIVERModerate
14.0μg/m³
PM 10Good
15μg/m³
NO₂Good
14μg/m³
OzoneGood
32μg/m³
UV IndexLow
0.0

What's driving it

PM × Wind × Precip

PM2.5 at 14.0 µg/m³ (AQI 60) with a 0.96 fine-to-coarse ratio and 4 mph wind — combustion smoke trapped in calm air, not road dust.

PM2.5/PM10
0.96
Wind
calm
Recent rain
0h in last 6h
Pattern
stagnant smoke
Nellysford, VA
Sky cover · visibility · 24h
Cloud cover
0%
CLEAR
100%0%−24h−18h−12h−6hnow

Visibility
65.4mi
UNLIMITED
119 mi0 mi−24h−18h−12h−6hnow
Earth · GOES-19 ABI
Full Disk · Visible · GeoColor
GOES-19 full disk Visible · GeoColor
True-color daytime, blue/IR sandwich at night
10:16 UTC · Nellysford, VA · NOAA NESDIS / STAR · up to 10848 px
Continental US · GOES-19 ABI
CONUS Sector · Visible · GeoColor
GOES-19 CONUS Visible · GeoColor
Daytime true-color, blue-light/IR sandwich at night
10:16 UTC · Nellysford, VA · NOAA NESDIS / STAR · 5-min cadence · up to 10000 px
Nellysford, VA
Satellite · infrared · animated
Nellysford, VA
Loading IR frames…
IR · cloud-top temp© RainViewer · Carto
Nellysford, VA
Almanac · Sunday, July 5
If the first of July be rainy weather, 'twill rain more or less for four weeks together.
Civil dawn
5:28 AM
Sunrise
1:58 AM
Daylight
14h 43m
Sunset
4:41 PM
Civil dusk
9:13 PM
Planting note
Harvest early potatoes. Begin drying onions on the surface.
Nellysford, VA
The moon
Waning Gibbous
74% illuminated
Moonrise
11:31 PM
Moonset
11:26 AM
In sign
♓︎ Pisces
Nellysford, VA
Microseason
Jul 1–5

Cicadas claim the scorching afternoon

plant
Jan 151% of the yearDec 31

Read this microseason across nine climate regions →

Nellysford at a glance

  • Today vs. normal: 3°F below the seasonal normal for this latitude
  • Last frost: April 3 (climatological average for this latitude)
  • Microseason: Jul 1–5
  • Planting window: Harvest early potatoes. Begin drying onions on the surface.

ZIP code: 22958

15-Day Forecast — Nellysford

  1. Sun88°70°42%
  2. Mon89°71°90%
  3. Tue85°67°81%
  4. Wed70°67°64%
  5. Thu91°66°31%
  6. Fri84°65°36%
  7. Sat81°64°37%
  8. Sun87°69°28%
  9. Mon84°63°17%
  10. Tue80°61°17%
  11. Wed85°63°17%
  12. Thu90°65°26%
  13. Fri87°67°26%
  14. Sat88°66°33%
  15. Sun89°64°35%

Forecast data from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0).

Right now in the garden

Peak growing season

As of July 5, the growing season is at its peak — frost is months away. Continue succession-planting beans and summer squash. Start fall brassicas (broccoli, cabbage, kale) from seed indoors for transplanting in late summer.

SPC Convective Outlook

Storm Prediction Center — Nellysford

SPC has placed Nellysford in the Slight Risk category for severe thunderstorms today.

  • TODAYSLGTSlight Risk
  • TOMORROWMRGLMarginal Risk
  • DAY 3TSTMGeneral Thunderstorms

Scattered severe storms possible. A few tornadoes, hail, and damaging wind gusts possible.

Source: NOAA / NWS Storm Prediction Center categorical convective outlook. Outlooks are re-issued multiple times per day; this page reflects the most recent SPC polygons covering the city’s coordinates.

ZIP codes in Nellysford

  • 22958

Climate normals from the Open-Meteo Climate API. Köppen approximation from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Regions. See methodology for data sources, editorial rules, and corrections. Maintainer: Brian Tighe.