Nellysford, Virginia Weather
Cicadas claim the scorching afternoon. Day 15 of summer. Read this microseason across nine climate regions →
Nellysford weather forecast — hour by hour, 7-day outlook, NOAA radar
- TodayJul 5Heavy Rain42%0.46″88°70°—
- MondayJul 6Heavy Rain90%1.7″89°71°+1°
- TuesdayJul 7Thunderstorm81%0.05″85°67°-4°
- WednesdayJul 8Thunderstorm64%0.02″70°67°-15°
- ThursdayJul 9Light Drizzle31%—91°66°+21°
- FridayJul 10Light Showers36%0.28″84°65°-7°
- SaturdayJul 11Light Drizzle37%—81°64°-3°
AQI 48 (Good), driven by PM2.5. AQI flat over the last 6 hours (within ±4 points). PM2.5 at 14.0 µg/m³ (AQI 60) with a 0.96 fine-to-coarse ratio and 4 mph wind — combustion smoke trapped in calm air, not road dust.
OK No precautions needed for the general population; unusually sensitive individuals may consider limiting prolonged outdoor exertion.
What's driving it
PM × Wind × Precip
PM2.5 at 14.0 µg/m³ (AQI 60) with a 0.96 fine-to-coarse ratio and 4 mph wind — combustion smoke trapped in calm air, not road dust.
- PM2.5/PM10
- 0.96
- Wind
- calm
- Recent rain
- 0h in last 6h
- Pattern
- stagnant smoke
Trends
Seven days of AQI and PM2.5.
Hourly air-quality data from the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service, charted across the past and next several days. Dashed lines mark the AQI breakpoints at 50 (Good → Moderate) and 100 (Moderate → Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups).








































If the first of July be rainy weather, 'twill rain more or less for four weeks together.
- Moonrise
- 11:31 PM
- Moonset
- 11:26 AM
- In sign
- ♓︎ Pisces
Cicadas claim the scorching afternoon
Nellysford at a glance
- Today vs. normal: 3°F below the seasonal normal for this latitude
- Last frost: April 3 (climatological average for this latitude)
- Microseason: Jul 1–5
- Planting window: Harvest early potatoes. Begin drying onions on the surface.
ZIP code: 22958
15-Day Forecast — Nellysford
- Sun88°70°42%
- Mon89°71°90%
- Tue85°67°81%
- Wed70°67°64%
- Thu91°66°31%
- Fri84°65°36%
- Sat81°64°37%
- Sun87°69°28%
- Mon84°63°17%
- Tue80°61°17%
- Wed85°63°17%
- Thu90°65°26%
- Fri87°67°26%
- Sat88°66°33%
- Sun89°64°35%
Forecast data from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0).
Right now in the garden
Peak growing season
As of July 5, the growing season is at its peak — frost is months away. Continue succession-planting beans and summer squash. Start fall brassicas (broccoli, cabbage, kale) from seed indoors for transplanting in late summer.
SPC Convective Outlook
Storm Prediction Center — Nellysford
SPC has placed Nellysford in the Slight Risk category for severe thunderstorms today.
- TODAYSLGTSlight Risk
- TOMORROWMRGLMarginal Risk
- DAY 3TSTMGeneral Thunderstorms
Scattered severe storms possible. A few tornadoes, hail, and damaging wind gusts possible.
Source: NOAA / NWS Storm Prediction Center categorical convective outlook. Outlooks are re-issued multiple times per day; this page reflects the most recent SPC polygons covering the city’s coordinates.
ZIP codes in Nellysford
- 22958