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Carrollton, Virginia Weather

Cicadas claim the scorching afternoon. Day 15 of summer. Read this microseason across nine climate regions →

Carrollton weather forecast — hour by hour, 7-day outlook, NOAA radar

Carrollton, VA
Sunday, July 5 at 1:25 AM
81
°
Overcast
Feels like
86°
Humidity
68%
Wind
8 mph
Sunrise
1:52 AM
Sunset
4:28 PM
Carrollton, VA
Hour by hour · 24h
24-Hour ForecastCarrollton, VA: 24-hour forecast. Temperatures range from 77 to 98 degrees Fahrenheit.
L 77°H 98°
Carrollton, VA
7-day forecast
  1. Today
    Jul 5
    Overcast
    —
    —
    98°77°—
  2. Monday
    Jul 6
    Light Showers
    77%
    —
    95°74°-3°
  3. Tuesday
    Jul 7
    Thunderstorm
    73%
    0.78″
    93°75°-2°
  4. Wednesday
    Jul 8
    Thunderstorm
    56%
    —
    79°75°-14°
  5. Thursday
    Jul 9
    Mostly Clear
    27%
    —
    91°72°+12°
  6. Friday
    Jul 10
    Overcast
    24%
    —
    99°76°+8°
  7. Saturday
    Jul 11
    Light Drizzle
    48%
    —
    86°75°-13°
Carrollton, VA
Next 24 hours · Warm now
HOT 90°70°88°105°12a6a12p6pnow 82°high 98°low 77°
Carrollton, VA
Anemometer · 24h winds · from true
NESW
From · True
ENE
064° · backing 147°
Direction
ENE
064°
Sustained
8
mph
Gust
10
mph
Peak 24h
18
avg 7
Beaufort · 3 · GENTLE BRZ
0
CALM
<1
1
LIGHT AIR
1–3
2
LIGHT BRZ
4–7
3
GENTLE BRZ
8–12
4
MOD BRZ
13–18
5
FRESH BRZ
19–24
6
STRONG BRZ
25–31
7
NEAR GALE
32–38
24h · sust vs gust · mph
avg 7 · pk 18 @ 7:00a
0102030MPHB1B2B3B4B5B6-21h-18h-15h-12h-9h-6h-3h-24hNOWpk 2311SUSTGUST
−24h−18h−12h−6hnow
Light breeze backing 147° from the ene.
Carrollton, VA
Barometer · 24h pressure · mb
STORMRAINCHANGEFAIRDRY9901000101010201030
Pressure · mb
1012.9
+0.9 mb in 3h · rising · 29.91 inHg
Now
1012.9
mb
3h
+0.9
mb
12h
-0.3
mb
24h
-1.0
mb
Regime · CHANGE
STORM
RAIN
CHANGE
FAIR
DRY
24h · Pressure · mb
range 1011–1014
9951000STORM|RAIN10051010RAIN|CHG1015CHG|FAIR10201025FAIR|DRY1030-21h-18h-15h-12h-9h-6h-3h-24hNOW1014.31010.91013.0
−24h−18h−12h−6hnow
Pressure climbing through the change line — drier air pushing in.
Carrollton, VA
Air quality
59
AQI
Moderate
↓-52 in 6h

AQI 59 (Moderate), driven by PM2.5. AQI down 52 over the last 6 hours — air quality is improving sharply. PM2.5 at 8.8 µg/m³, PM10 at 10.2 µg/m³ — typical background levels with no transport signature.

OK No precautions needed for the general population; unusually sensitive individuals may consider limiting prolonged outdoor exertion.

PM 2.5DRIVERGood
8.8μg/m³
PM 10Good
10μg/m³
NO₂Good
5μg/m³
OzoneGood
57μg/m³
UV IndexLow
0.0

What's driving it

PM × Wind × Precip

PM2.5 at 8.8 µg/m³, PM10 at 10.2 µg/m³ — typical background levels with no transport signature.

PM2.5/PM10
0.86
Wind
light
Recent rain
0h in last 6h
Pattern
background

Trends

Seven days of AQI and PM2.5.

Hourly air-quality data from the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service, charted across the past and next several days. Dashed lines mark the AQI breakpoints at 50 (Good → Moderate) and 100 (Moderate → Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups).

7-DAY AQI TREND50100SUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISATSUN7-DAY PM2.5 TREND · μg/m³300
Carrollton, VA
Sky cover · visibility · 24h
Cloud cover
91%
OVERCAST
100%0%−24h−18h−12h−6hnow
Visibility
46.5mi
UNLIMITED
101 mi0 mi−24h−18h−12h−6hnow
Earth · GOES-19 ABI
Full Disk · Visible · GeoColor
GOES-19 full disk Visible · GeoColor
True-color daytime, blue/IR sandwich at night
05:25 UTC · Carrollton, VA · NOAA NESDIS / STAR · up to 10848 px
Continental US · GOES-19 ABI
CONUS Sector · Visible · GeoColor
GOES-19 CONUS Visible · GeoColor
Daytime true-color, blue-light/IR sandwich at night
05:25 UTC · Carrollton, VA · NOAA NESDIS / STAR · 5-min cadence · up to 10000 px
Carrollton, VA
Satellite · infrared · animated
Carrollton, VA
Loading IR frames…
IR · cloud-top temp© RainViewer · Carto
Carrollton, VA
Almanac · Sunday, July 5
If the first of July be rainy weather, 'twill rain more or less for four weeks together.
Civil dawn
5:22 AM
Sunrise
1:52 AM
Daylight
14h 36m
Sunset
4:28 PM
Civil dusk
9:00 PM
Planting note
Harvest early potatoes. Begin drying onions on the surface.
Carrollton, VA
The moon
Waning Gibbous
75% illuminated
Moonrise
11:21 PM
Moonset
11:16 AM
In sign
♓︎ Pisces
Carrollton, VA
Microseason
Jul 1–5

Cicadas claim the scorching afternoon

plant
Jan 151% of the yearDec 31

Read this microseason across nine climate regions →

Carrollton at a glance

  • Today vs. normal: 6°F above the seasonal normal for this latitude
  • Last frost: March 29 (climatological average for this latitude)
  • Microseason: Jul 1–5
  • Planting window: Harvest early potatoes. Begin drying onions on the surface.

ZIP code: 23314

15-Day Forecast — Carrollton

  1. Sun98°77°1%
  2. Mon95°74°77%
  3. Tue93°75°73%
  4. Wed79°75°56%
  5. Thu91°72°27%
  6. Fri99°76°24%
  7. Sat86°75°48%
  8. Sun82°75°36%
  9. Mon81°74°20%
  10. Tue82°69°15%
  11. Wed93°69°25%
  12. Thu87°72°24%
  13. Fri90°71°29%
  14. Sat92°72°35%
  15. Sun96°71°49%

Forecast data from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0).

Right now in the garden

Peak growing season

As of July 5, the growing season is at its peak — frost is months away. Continue succession-planting beans and summer squash. Start fall brassicas (broccoli, cabbage, kale) from seed indoors for transplanting in late summer.

SPC Convective Outlook

Storm Prediction Center — Carrollton

SPC has placed Carrollton in the Marginal Risk category for severe thunderstorms today.

  • TODAYMRGLMarginal Risk
  • TOMORROWMRGLMarginal Risk
  • DAY 3MRGLMarginal Risk

Isolated severe storms possible. Limited threat for hail or damaging wind.

Source: NOAA / NWS Storm Prediction Center categorical convective outlook. Outlooks are re-issued multiple times per day; this page reflects the most recent SPC polygons covering the city’s coordinates.

January 1–5: Frost quiets the live oaks.January 6–10: Still water thickens with ice.January 11–15: Springs begin to move beneath ice.January 16–20: Cardinal dawn calls grow bolder.January 21–25: Late January thaw pulses.January 26–31: Last freeze locks the land.February 1–5: February's lengthening light.February 6–10: Warming winds thaw the margin.February 11–15: Magnolia blooms break the gray.February 16–20: Mockingbirds resume the dawn chorus.February 21–25: Rain replaces the last snow.February 26–28: Mist clings to greening valleys.March 1–5: The green pulse awakens.March 6–10: Hibernators emerge to call.March 11–15: Dogwood and redbud ignite.March 16–20: Swallowtails emerge from winter silk.March 21–25: Light crowns the dogwood canopy.March 26–31: Redbud cascades over the thaw.April 1–5: Thunder announces the wet season.April 6–10: Barn swallows carve the warming sky.April 11–15: Magnolia blooms and falls in a breath.April 16–20: First rainbows arch over thunderheads.April 21–25: Reeds push through marsh water.April 26–30: Frost retreats; seedlings rise free.May 1–5: Warblers flood the canopy in waves.May 6–10: Tulip poplar lights the forest crown.May 11–15: Shad pulse upstream through rapids.May 16–20: Roses open on the Piedmont edge.May 21–25: Fireflies scout the humid dusk.May 26–31: Frog choruses rise from every wetland.June 1–5: Fireflies pulse through the magnolias.June 6–10: Kudzu climbs deeper into green.June 11–15: Sun climbs to its northern throne.June 16–20: Heat settles and the rain begins.June 21–25: The longest day turns toward shadow.June 26–30: Fireflies drift through Spanish moss.July 1–5: Cicadas claim the scorching afternoon.July 6–10: Thunderheads boil and break at dusk.July 11–15: Thunder builds each drowsy afternoon.July 16–20: Cicadas claim the long noon.July 21–25: Dog days drape the earth in haze.July 26–31: Katydids begin their rasping chorus.August 1–5: Dusk arrives one minute earlier each night.August 6–10: Meteorological summer's turning page.August 11–15: Cool winds gather at the margins.August 16–20: Dog-day cicadas rise.August 21–25: Heat breaks in creek beds.August 26–31: Monarchs gather strength.September 1–5: Harvests begin in earnest.September 6–10: Dew beads on resurrection fern.September 11–15: Raptors trail the thermals.September 16–20: Day and dark find balance.September 21–25: Thunder quiets the land.September 26–30: Insects retreat below.October 1–5: Swamp waters recede.October 6–10: Maples ignite the ridge.October 11–15: Asters crown the meadows.October 16–20: Crickets sing at dusk.October 21–25: Frost paints the garden.October 26–31: Light rains whisper down.November 1–5: Sweetgum Turns Crimson.November 6–10: Camellia Blooms Break Through.November 11–15: Earth Stiffens Underfoot.November 16–20: Bare Limbs Hold the Light.November 21–25: First Frost Grips the High Ground.November 26–30: North Wind Strips the Last Leaves.December 1–5: Darkness Falls Before Dinner.December 6–10: Winter Locks the Land.December 11–15: Wildlife Retreats to Shelter.December 16–20: Ice Edges Deepen Inward.December 21–25: The Sun Begins its Return.December 26–31: The Year Turns in Silence.🌱February 14 — First skunk-cabbage spathes thaw their way up☀️March 20 — Spring equinox — day and night balance🌸April 5 — Cherry blossoms peak in the parks🐦May 10 — Warbler migration peaks along the coast✨May 25 — First fireflies scout the meadows at dusk🌞June 21 — Summer solstice — longest day🦗July 25 — Peak cicada chorus in the afternoons🌊August 18 — Warmest sea-surface temperatures of the year🍂September 22 — Autumn equinox — the slow turn❄️October 25 — First widespread frost in the suburbs🍁November 10 — Peak leaf color across the Hudson Valley🌙December 21 — Winter solstice — longest night

Microseason · July 1–5

Cicadas claim the scorching afternoon

Dog-day cicadas emerge in waves, their rasp dominating every sunny hour; heat peaks above 90 degrees daily.

Day 186 of 365 · Wedge 37 of 72

The solar year drawn as a wheel of 72 five-day windows. Each wedge is one microseason; the four colored arcs mark winter, spring, summer, and autumn; the small icons sit at notable phenological events. The crimson pointer creeps clockwise as the year turns.

Planting calendar

MonthPlantHarvest
January——
February——
March——
Aprillettuce, peas, spinach, radishes—
Maylettuce, peas, spinach, radishes, tomatoes, peppers, beans, squashlettuce, peas, radishes
Junetomatoes, peppers, beans, squashlettuce, peas, radishes
Julytomatoes, peppers, beans, squashtomatoes, beans, summer squash
August—tomatoes, beans, summer squash
Septemberfall brassicas, garlic (overwinter), carrotstomatoes, beans, summer squash
Octoberfall brassicas, garlic (overwinter), carrotswinter squash, tomatoes (last)
November——
December——

A year in weather

In Carrollton, July runs warmest near 79°F and January coldest around 40°F, while August is the wettest month (5.4 inches) and February the driest (2.6 inches).

MonthMean tempPrecipRainy days
January40°3.0″5
February42°2.6″6
March49°3.4″6
April58°3.1″6
May67°3.7″7
June75°4.1″7
July79°4.7″7
August77°5.4″7
September72°5.0″5
October61°4.2″6
November51°3.0″5
December43°3.2″6

Regional context

In Carrollton, NOAA NCEI 1991-2020 normals put January near 40°F and July near 79°F — a 39°F seasonal arc — with about 45.1 inches of precipitation over 73 rainy or snowy days.

Carrollton's rain peaks in summer: August brings 5.4 inches over 7.2 thunderstorm-fed days, while February sees just 2.6 inches across 5.6 days under cooler, drier air. That puts Carrollton in a summer-convective cohort with places like Benns Church, VA, Smithfield, VA and Portsmouth, VA.

Carrollton reaches its last hard frost near mid-April; that is the cue for peas, lettuce, spinach, and radishes. Tomatoes and peppers do best set out two weeks later in Carrollton, once nights clear the mid-40s°F. The season ends by mid-November in Carrollton, once hard frosts set back in. Carrollton's low ground holds frost later into spring than Carrollton's benches, which run 3-5 days ahead.

Similar climates: Benns Church, VA, Smithfield, VA, Portsmouth, VA, Newport News, VA, Hampton, VA.

Frequently asked

When does it freeze in Carrollton?
Carrollton's last spring frost lands near mid-April, and in Carrollton the first fall frost follows around mid-November.
What is the rainy season in Carrollton?
August is the wettest month in Carrollton, about 5.4 inches on average; the year totals roughly 45 inches.
What is the warmest month in Carrollton?
On average July tops the year in Carrollton at about 79°F.
What is the coldest month in Carrollton?
The coldest stretch in Carrollton falls in January, around 40°F on average.
When can I start a vegetable garden in Carrollton?
Hardy spring crops go in near mid-April in Carrollton; tender peppers and squash wait 10–14 days.
How many rainy days does Carrollton get?
Carrollton records around 73 days of measurable precipitation annually.
What hardiness zone is Carrollton?
Since January in Carrollton averages 40°F, Carrollton's USDA zone follows that floor — confirm it by ZIP.
What is the 10-day forecast for Carrollton?
Carrollton's extended outlook — daily high and low temperatures and precipitation chances for each upcoming day — is in the daily forecast above.
Will it rain this week in Carrollton?
See this week's day-by-day rain chances for Carrollton in the daily forecast above, and the next 24 hours in the hourly chart.
What is the weather like right now in Carrollton?
Current conditions for Carrollton and the next 24 hours — temperature, precipitation chance, and wind by the hour — are in the hourly forecast chart above.
How often is the Carrollton forecast updated?
The Carrollton forecast on this page is built from Open-Meteo weather-model data and refreshes regularly through the day.
When are sunrise and sunset in Carrollton?
Today's sunrise and sunset times for Carrollton are in the Almanac section above, along with civil dawn, civil dusk, and day length. Day length is longest near the summer solstice and shortest near the winter solstice.
How accurate is the weather forecast for Carrollton?
The next few days in Carrollton's forecast are the most reliable; accuracy declines beyond about a week as weather-model uncertainty grows.

Climate

In Carrollton, Virginia, the humid subtropical climate runs from about 40°F in January to 79°F in July, a 39°F seasonal range.

Yearly precipitation in Carrollton totals around 45 inches, spread over about 73 days of rain or snow.

Carrollton's 39°F range, set by its 36.9°N position, drives frost timing and what thrives in Carrollton.

All cities in Virginia →

Portsmouth, VA weather →

ZIP codes in Carrollton

  • 23314

Climate normals from the Open-Meteo Climate API. Köppen approximation from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Regions. See methodology for data sources, editorial rules, and corrections. Maintainer: Brian Tighe.