Weather StoryAlmanac, microseasons, and the day's weather story.

Welcome, Minnesota Weather

Cicadas claim the afternoon. Day 14 of summer. Read this microseason across nine climate regions →

Welcome weather forecast — hour by hour, 7-day outlook, NOAA radar

Welcome, MN
Saturday, July 4 at 10:08 AM
77
°
Overcast
Feels like
84°
Humidity
76%
Wind
2 mph
Sunrise
12:42 AM
Sunset
4:03 PM
Welcome, MN
Hour by hour · 24h
24-Hour ForecastWelcome, MN: 24-hour forecast. Temperatures range from 66 to 86 degrees Fahrenheit with a 21% chance of precipitation at 1 AM.
L 66°H 86°
Welcome, MN
7-day forecast
  1. Today
    Jul 4
    Foggy
    16%
    86°68°
  2. Sunday
    Jul 5
    Overcast
    21%
    85°66°-1°
  3. Monday
    Jul 6
    Mostly Clear
    85°66°
  4. Tuesday
    Jul 7
    Overcast
    10%
    85°66°
  5. Wednesday
    Jul 8
    T-storm w/ Hail
    53%
    0.02″
    82°68°-3°
  6. Thursday
    Jul 9
    Overcast
    53%
    80°65°-2°
  7. Friday
    Jul 10
    Thunderstorm
    84°63°+4°
Welcome, MN
Anemometer · 24h winds · from true
NESW
From · True
SSW
207° · veering 26°
Direction
SSW
207°
Sustained
2
mph
Gust
2
mph
Peak 24h
15
avg 4
Beaufort · 1 · LIGHT AIR
0
CALM
<1
1
LIGHT AIR
1–3
2
LIGHT BRZ
4–7
3
GENTLE BRZ
8–12
4
MOD BRZ
13–18
5
FRESH BRZ
19–24
6
STRONG BRZ
25–31
7
NEAR GALE
32–38
24h · sust vs gust · mph
avg 4 · pk 15 @ 12:00p
01020MPHB1B2B3B4B5-21h-18h-15h-12h-9h-6h-3h-24hNOWpk 216SUSTGUST
−24h−18h−12h−6hnow
A whisper of wind — leaves barely shift on the trees.
Welcome, MN
Barometer · 24h pressure · mb
STORMRAINCHANGEFAIRDRY9901000101010201030
Pressure · mb
972.8
+1.6 mb in 3h · rising · 28.73 inHg
Now
972.8
mb
3h
+1.6
mb
12h
+2.0
mb
24h
+0.6
mb
Regime · STORM
STORM
RAIN
CHANGE
FAIR
DRY
24h · Pressure · mb
range 970973
965970975980-21h-18h-15h-12h-9h-6h-3h-24hNOW972.8970.4972.8
−24h−18h−12h−6hnow
The low is filling — pressure climbing out of storm territory.
Welcome, MN
Air quality
29
AQI
Good
0 in 6hPeak ~37 @ 9 PM

AQI 29 (Good), driven by PM2.5. AQI flat over the last 6 hours (within ±3 points). PM2.5 at 7.4 µg/m³ (AQI 41) with a 0.85 fine-to-coarse ratio and 2 mph wind — combustion smoke trapped in calm air, not road dust.

OK No precautions needed for the general population; unusually sensitive individuals may consider limiting prolonged outdoor exertion during the projected peak around 9 PM.

PM 2.5DRIVERGood
7.4μg/m³
PM 10Good
9μg/m³
NO₂Good
3μg/m³
OzoneModerate
70μg/m³
UV IndexModerate
3.3

What's driving it

Ozone × UV × Sky

Ozone at AQI 33 now. With UV 4.7 peaking around 1 PM under clear skies, surface ozone likely climbs to AQI 21 around 1 PM.

Present
AQI 33
UV peak
4.7 at 1 PM
Sky at peak
clear
Projected peak
AQI 21

PM × Wind × Precip

PM2.5 at 7.4 µg/m³ (AQI 41) with a 0.85 fine-to-coarse ratio and 2 mph wind — combustion smoke trapped in calm air, not road dust.

PM2.5/PM10
0.85
Wind
calm
Recent rain
0h in last 6h
Pattern
stagnant smoke
Welcome, MN
Sky cover · visibility · 24h
Cloud cover
85%
MOSTLY CLOUDY
100%0%−24h−18h−12h−6hnow

Visibility
39.5mi
UNLIMITED
58 mi0 mi−24h−18h−12h−6hnow
Earth · GOES-19 ABI
Full Disk · Visible · GeoColor
GOES-19 full disk Visible · GeoColor
True-color daytime, blue/IR sandwich at night
15:08 UTC · Welcome, MN · NOAA NESDIS / STAR · up to 10848 px
Continental US · GOES-19 ABI
CONUS Sector · Visible · GeoColor
GOES-19 CONUS Visible · GeoColor
Daytime true-color, blue-light/IR sandwich at night
15:08 UTC · Welcome, MN · NOAA NESDIS / STAR · 5-min cadence · up to 10000 px
Welcome, MN
Satellite · infrared · animated
Welcome, MN
Loading IR frames…
IR · cloud-top temp© RainViewer · Carto
Welcome, MN
Almanac · Saturday, July 4
If the first of July be rainy weather, 'twill rain more or less for four weeks together.
Civil dawn
5:07 AM
Sunrise
12:42 AM
Daylight
15h 21m
Sunset
4:03 PM
Civil dusk
9:40 PM
Planting note
Harvest early potatoes. Begin drying onions on the surface.
Welcome, MN
The moon
Waning Gibbous
81% illuminated
Moonrise
11:19 PM
Moonset
10:20 AM
In sign
♓︎ Pisces
Welcome, MN
Microseason
Jul 1–5

Cicadas claim the afternoon

bird
Jan 151% of the yearDec 31

Read this microseason across nine climate regions →

Welcome at a glance

  • Today vs. normal: 9°F above the seasonal normal for this latitude
  • Last frost: May 8 (climatological average for this latitude)
  • Microseason: Jul 1–5
  • Planting window: Harvest early potatoes. Begin drying onions on the surface.

ZIP code: 56181

16-Day Forecast — Welcome

  1. Sat86°68°16%
  2. Sun85°66°21%
  3. Mon85°66°1%
  4. Tue85°66°10%
  5. Wed82°68°53%
  6. Thu80°65°53%
  7. Fri84°63°8%
  8. Sat79°61°11%
  9. Sun73°56°11%
  10. Mon78°55°7%
  11. Tue82°57°4%
  12. Wed78°65°13%
  13. Thu84°62°19%
  14. Fri87°67°16%
  15. Sat88°67°11%
  16. Sun93°70°21%

Forecast data from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0).

Right now in the garden

Peak growing season

As of July 4, the growing season is at its peak — frost is months away. Continue succession-planting beans and summer squash. Start fall brassicas (broccoli, cabbage, kale) from seed indoors for transplanting in late summer.

SPC Convective Outlook

Storm Prediction Center — Welcome

SPC has placed Welcome in the Marginal Risk category for severe thunderstorms today.

  • TODAYMRGLMarginal Risk
  • TOMORROWTSTMGeneral Thunderstorms
  • DAY 3TSTMGeneral Thunderstorms

Isolated severe storms possible. Limited threat for hail or damaging wind.

Source: NOAA / NWS Storm Prediction Center categorical convective outlook. Outlooks are re-issued multiple times per day; this page reflects the most recent SPC polygons covering the city’s coordinates.

ZIP codes in Welcome

  • 56181

Climate normals from the Open-Meteo Climate API. Köppen approximation from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Regions. See methodology for data sources, editorial rules, and corrections. Maintainer: Brian Tighe.