Weather StoryAlmanac, microseasons, and the day's weather story.

Chance, Maryland Weather

Cicadas claim the afternoon. Day 15 of summer. Read this microseason across nine climate regions →

Chance weather forecast — hour by hour, 7-day outlook, NOAA radar

Chance, MD
Sunday, July 5 at 4:24 PM
90
°
Clear
Feels like
101°
Humidity
64%
Wind
7 mph
Sunrise
1:46 AM
Sunset
4:30 PM
Chance, MD
Hour by hour · 24h
24-Hour ForecastChance, MD: 24-hour forecast. Temperatures range from 72 to 90 degrees Fahrenheit with a 21% chance of precipitation at 3 PM.
L 72°H 90°
Chance, MD
7-day forecast
  1. Today
    Jul 5
    Overcast
    23%
    91°75°
  2. Monday
    Jul 6
    Heavy Rain
    37%
    1.3″
    90°72°-1°
  3. Tuesday
    Jul 7
    Rain
    61%
    0.23″
    79°70°-11°
  4. Wednesday
    Jul 8
    Heavy Drizzle
    61%
    0.07″
    78°67°-1°
  5. Thursday
    Jul 9
    Heavy Drizzle
    19%
    87°66°+9°
  6. Friday
    Jul 10
    Light Drizzle
    18%
    0.02″
    95°70°+8°
  7. Saturday
    Jul 11
    Overcast
    36%
    84°68°-11°
Chance, MD
Anemometer · 24h winds · from true
NESW
From · True
S
184° · backing 8°
Direction
S
184°
Sustained
7
mph
Gust
12
mph
Peak 24h
31
avg 7
Beaufort · 2 · LIGHT BRZ
0
CALM
<1
1
LIGHT AIR
1–3
2
LIGHT BRZ
4–7
3
GENTLE BRZ
8–12
4
MOD BRZ
13–18
5
FRESH BRZ
19–24
6
STRONG BRZ
25–31
7
NEAR GALE
32–38
24h · sust vs gust · mph
avg 7 · pk 31 @ 10:00p
0102030MPHB1B2B3B4B5B6-21h-18h-15h-12h-9h-6h-3h-24hNOWpk 2610SUSTGUST
−24h−18h−12h−6hnow
Light breeze backing 8° from the s.
Chance, MD
Barometer · 24h pressure · mb
STORMRAINCHANGEFAIRDRY9901000101010201030
Pressure · mb
1010.9
-1.4 mb in 3h · falling · 29.85 inHg
Now
1010.9
mb
3h
-1.4
mb
12h
-1.2
mb
24h
-0.2
mb
Regime · CHANGE
STORM
RAIN
CHANGE
FAIR
DRY
24h · Pressure · mb
range 10111014
9951000STORM|RAIN10051010RAIN|CHG1015CHG|FAIR10201025FAIR|DRY1030-21h-18h-15h-12h-9h-6h-3h-24hNOW1013.51010.61011.0
−24h−18h−12h−6hnow
Pressure slipping through the change line — wetter air on the way.
Chance, MD
Air quality
66
AQI
Moderate
+1 in 6hPeak ~78 @ 10 PM

AQI 66 (Moderate), driven by Ozone. AQI flat over the last 6 hours (within ±3 points). Ozone at AQI 71 — peak already passed at 1 PM under clear skies. Levels should ease through evening.

OK No precautions needed for the general population; unusually sensitive individuals may consider limiting prolonged outdoor exertion during the projected peak around 10 PM.

PM 2.5Good
8.4μg/m³
PM 10Good
10μg/m³
NO₂Good
1μg/m³
OzoneDRIVERUnhealthy SG
120μg/m³
UV IndexModerate
4.8

What's driving it

Ozone × UV × Sky

Ozone at AQI 71 — peak already passed at 1 PM under clear skies. Levels should ease through evening.

Present
AQI 71
UV peak
4.3 at earlier today
Sky at peak
clear
Projected peak
AQI 71

PM × Wind × Precip

PM2.5 at 8.4 µg/m³, PM10 at 10.0 µg/m³ — typical background levels with no transport signature.

PM2.5/PM10
0.84
Wind
light
Recent rain
0h in last 6h
Pattern
background
Chance, MD
Sky cover · visibility · 24h
Cloud cover
0%
CLEAR
100%0%−24h−18h−12h−6hnow

Visibility
51.2mi
UNLIMITED
68 mi0 mi−24h−18h−12h−6hnow
Earth · GOES-19 ABI
Full Disk · Visible · GeoColor
GOES-19 full disk Visible · GeoColor
True-color daytime, blue/IR sandwich at night
20:24 UTC · Chance, MD · NOAA NESDIS / STAR · up to 10848 px
Continental US · GOES-19 ABI
CONUS Sector · Visible · GeoColor
GOES-19 CONUS Visible · GeoColor
Daytime true-color, blue-light/IR sandwich at night
20:24 UTC · Chance, MD · NOAA NESDIS / STAR · 5-min cadence · up to 10000 px
Chance, MD
Satellite · infrared · animated
Chance, MD
Loading IR frames…
IR · cloud-top temp© RainViewer · Carto
Chance, MD
Almanac · Sunday, July 5
If the first of July be rainy weather, 'twill rain more or less for four weeks together.
Civil dawn
5:16 AM
Sunrise
1:46 AM
Daylight
14h 44m
Sunset
4:30 PM
Civil dusk
9:02 PM
Planting note
Harvest early potatoes. Begin drying onions on the surface.
Chance, MD
The moon
Waning Gibbous
70% illuminated
Moonrise
11:19 PM
Moonset
11:14 AM
In sign
♓︎ Pisces
Chance, MD
Microseason
Jul 1–5

Cicadas claim the afternoon

fish
Jan 151% of the yearDec 31

Read this microseason across nine climate regions →

Chance at a glance

  • Today vs. normal: 17°F above the seasonal normal for this latitude
  • Last frost: April 5 (climatological average for this latitude)
  • Microseason: Jul 1–5
  • Planting window: Harvest early potatoes. Begin drying onions on the surface.

16-Day Forecast — Chance

  1. Sun91°75°23%
  2. Mon90°75°37%
  3. Tue79°70°61%
  4. Wed78°67°61%
  5. Thu87°66°19%
  6. Fri95°70°18%
  7. Sat84°68°36%
  8. Sun86°67°27%
  9. Mon90°68°16%
  10. Tue78°67°16%
  11. Wed84°66°14%
  12. Thu87°65°35%
  13. Fri91°68°36%
  14. Sat88°69°32%
  15. Sun81°69°32%
  16. Mon85°68°39%

Forecast data from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0).

Right now in the garden

Peak growing season

As of July 5, the growing season is at its peak — frost is months away. Continue succession-planting beans and summer squash. Start fall brassicas (broccoli, cabbage, kale) from seed indoors for transplanting in late summer.

SPC Convective Outlook

Storm Prediction Center — Chance

SPC has placed Chance in the Slight Risk category for severe thunderstorms today.

  • TODAYSLGTSlight Risk
  • TOMORROWMRGLMarginal Risk
  • DAY 3TSTMGeneral Thunderstorms

Scattered severe storms possible. A few tornadoes, hail, and damaging wind gusts possible.

Source: NOAA / NWS Storm Prediction Center categorical convective outlook. Outlooks are re-issued multiple times per day; this page reflects the most recent SPC polygons covering the city’s coordinates.

ZIP codes in Chance

  • 21821

Climate normals from the Open-Meteo Climate API. Köppen approximation from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Regions. See methodology for data sources, editorial rules, and corrections. Maintainer: Brian Tighe.