Weather StoryAlmanac, microseasons, and the day's weather story.

Carmel, Indiana Weather

Cicadas claim the scorching afternoon. Day 14 of summer. Read this microseason across nine climate regions →

Carmel weather forecast — hour by hour, 7-day outlook, NOAA radar

Carmel, IN
Saturday, July 4 at 1:20 PM
91
°
Clear
Feels like
100°
Humidity
47%
Wind
5 mph
Sunrise
2:21 AM
Sunset
5:16 PM
Carmel, IN
Hour by hour · 24h
24-Hour ForecastCarmel, IN: 24-hour forecast. Temperatures range from 71 to 92 degrees Fahrenheit with a 55% chance of precipitation at 10 PM.
L 71°H 92°
Carmel, IN
7-day forecast
  1. Today
    Jul 4
    Heavy Rain
    55%
    0.95″
    92°72°—
  2. Sunday
    Jul 5
    Light Showers
    21%
    0.10″
    83°71°-9°
  3. Monday
    Jul 6
    Light Drizzle
    23%
    —
    80°68°-3°
  4. Tuesday
    Jul 7
    Overcast
    —
    —
    81°63°+1°
  5. Wednesday
    Jul 8
    Overcast
    —
    —
    84°65°+3°
  6. Thursday
    Jul 9
    T-storm w/ Hail
    45%
    —
    82°68°-2°
  7. Friday
    Jul 10
    Light Drizzle
    47%
    —
    76°69°-6°
Carmel, IN
Next 24 hours · Hot now
HOT 90°66°81°96°12p6p12a6anow 91°high 92°low 71°PRECIP %
Carmel, IN
Anemometer · 24h winds · from true
NESW
From · True
W
261° · veering 38°
Direction
W
261°
Sustained
5
mph
Gust
8
mph
Peak 24h
21
avg 6
Beaufort · 2 · LIGHT BRZ
0
CALM
<1
1
LIGHT AIR
1–3
2
LIGHT BRZ
4–7
3
GENTLE BRZ
8–12
4
MOD BRZ
13–18
5
FRESH BRZ
19–24
6
STRONG BRZ
25–31
7
NEAR GALE
32–38
24h · sust vs gust · mph
avg 6 · pk 21 @ 2:00a
01020MPHB1B2B3B4B5-21h-18h-15h-12h-9h-6h-3h-24hNOWpk 146SUSTGUST
−24h−18h−12h−6hnow
A whisper of wind — leaves barely shift on the trees.
Carmel, IN
Barometer · 24h pressure · mb
STORMRAINCHANGEFAIRDRY9901000101010201030
Pressure · mb
986.6
+0.2 mb in 3h · steady · 29.13 inHg
Now
986.6
mb
3h
+0.2
mb
12h
-0.4
mb
24h
-2.6
mb
Regime · STORM
STORM
RAIN
CHANGE
FAIR
DRY
24h · Pressure · mb
range 986–989
9809859909951000STORM|RAIN10051010RAIN|CHG1015CHG|FAIR10201025FAIR|DRY1030-21h-18h-15h-12h-9h-6h-3h-24hNOW989.3985.8986.7
−24h−18h−12h−6hnow
Deep low — expect rough seas, strong wind, and persistent rain.
Carmel, IN
Air quality
39
AQI
Good
→0 in 6h▲Peak ~97 @ 11 PM

AQI 39 (Good), driven by Ozone. Ozone at AQI 106 now. With UV 8.1 peaking around 1 PM under clear skies, surface ozone likely climbs to AQI 114 around 1 PM.

OK No precautions needed for the general population; unusually sensitive individuals may consider limiting prolonged outdoor exertion.

PM 2.5Moderate
15.5μg/m³
PM 10Good
17μg/m³
NO₂Good
2μg/m³
OzoneDRIVERUnhealthy
142μg/m³
UV IndexVery high
8.1

What's driving it

Ozone × UV × Sky

Ozone at AQI 106 now. With UV 8.1 peaking around 1 PM under clear skies, surface ozone likely climbs to AQI 114 around 1 PM.

Present
AQI 106
UV peak
8.1 at 1 PM
Sky at peak
clear
Projected peak
AQI 114

PM × Wind × Precip

PM2.5 at 15.5 µg/m³ (AQI 63) with a 0.90 fine-to-coarse ratio and 5 mph wind — combustion smoke trapped in calm air, not road dust.

PM2.5/PM10
0.90
Wind
light
Recent rain
0h in last 6h
Pattern
stagnant smoke

Trends

Seven days of AQI and PM2.5.

Hourly air-quality data from the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service, charted across the past and next several days. Dashed lines mark the AQI breakpoints at 50 (Good → Moderate) and 100 (Moderate → Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups).

7-DAY AQI TREND50100SATSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT7-DAY PM2.5 TREND · μg/m³300
Carmel, IN
Sky cover · visibility · 24h
Cloud cover
11%
CLEAR
100%0%−24h−18h−12h−6hnow
Visibility
80.9mi
UNLIMITED
89 mi0 mi−24h−18h−12h−6hnow
Earth · GOES-19 ABI
Full Disk · Visible · GeoColor
GOES-19 full disk Visible · GeoColor
True-color daytime, blue/IR sandwich at night
17:20 UTC · Carmel, IN · NOAA NESDIS / STAR · up to 10848 px
Continental US · GOES-19 ABI
CONUS Sector · Visible · GeoColor
GOES-19 CONUS Visible · GeoColor
Daytime true-color, blue-light/IR sandwich at night
17:20 UTC · Carmel, IN · NOAA NESDIS / STAR · 5-min cadence · up to 10000 px
Carmel, IN
Satellite · infrared · animated
Carmel, IN
Loading IR frames…
IR · cloud-top temp© RainViewer · Carto
Carmel, IN
Almanac · Saturday, July 4
If the first of July be rainy weather, 'twill rain more or less for four weeks together.
Civil dawn
5:49 AM
Sunrise
2:21 AM
Daylight
14h 55m
Sunset
5:16 PM
Civil dusk
9:50 PM
Planting note
Harvest early potatoes. Begin drying onions on the surface.
Carmel, IN
The moon
Waning Gibbous
80% illuminated
Moonrise
11:39 PM
Moonset
10:50 AM
In sign
♓︎ Pisces
Carmel, IN
Microseason
Jul 1–5

Cicadas claim the scorching afternoon

bird
Jan 151% of the yearDec 31

Read this microseason across nine climate regions →

Carmel at a glance

  • Today vs. normal: 19°F above the seasonal normal for this latitude
  • Last frost: April 16 (climatological average for this latitude)
  • Microseason: Jul 1–5
  • Planting window: Harvest early potatoes. Begin drying onions on the surface.

ZIP codes: 46032, 46033

16-Day Forecast — Carmel

  1. Sat92°72°55%
  2. Sun83°71°21%
  3. Mon80°68°23%
  4. Tue81°63°5%
  5. Wed84°65°5%
  6. Thu82°68°45%
  7. Fri76°69°47%
  8. Sat85°67°27%
  9. Sun72°59°11%
  10. Mon70°59°15%
  11. Tue75°59°13%
  12. Wed82°62°26%
  13. Thu84°66°18%
  14. Fri84°69°16%
  15. Sat85°68°26%
  16. Sun85°71°39%

Forecast data from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0).

Live wind & temperature near Carmel

Right now in the garden

Peak growing season

As of July 4, the growing season is at its peak — frost is months away. Continue succession-planting beans and summer squash. Start fall brassicas (broccoli, cabbage, kale) from seed indoors for transplanting in late summer.

SPC Convective Outlook

Storm Prediction Center — Carmel

SPC has placed Carmel in the Slight Risk category for severe thunderstorms today.

  • TODAYSLGTSlight Risk
  • TOMORROWTSTMGeneral Thunderstorms
  • DAY 3TSTMGeneral Thunderstorms

Scattered severe storms possible. A few tornadoes, hail, and damaging wind gusts possible.

Source: NOAA / NWS Storm Prediction Center categorical convective outlook. Outlooks are re-issued multiple times per day; this page reflects the most recent SPC polygons covering the city’s coordinates.

All cities in Indiana →

Indianapolis, IN weather →

ZIP codes in Carmel

  • 46290
  • 46032
  • 46033
  • 46280
  • 46074
  • 46082

Climate normals from the Open-Meteo Climate API. Köppen approximation from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Regions. See methodology for data sources, editorial rules, and corrections. Maintainer: Brian Tighe.